Westgate SuperContest Week 16 Recap

 

The field outperformed in week 16, averaging almost 2.6 points. Sadly, we are now down to our final week of the contest. There are only a couple games with playoff implications, so this week should be extra tough. As such, look for the entires scores to be below 2.5.  However, we are still predicting the payout threshold will be 51.5 points or slightly above 60%. As for the winning target, our current guess is still 59.5 points or 70%. The good news for everyone is the top 100 get paid this year. You can find the payout structure HERE.

We now have a  2-way race for the title with just 5 picks left. @PIGSKIN_JUNKIES is now alone in 1st with 57 points, while RUSH YYZ 2112 is a full point behind at 56. are now tied with 55 points. However, third place is now up for grabs. 

On the season, the field is averaging 2.53 points per week (50.5%) which is right about where we expected the field to finish.  The top 5 consensus (Sea, LAC, Chi, Phi, Min) went 3-2 this week.  The top 5 picks are now 42-38.

The ProMathletics team continued our hedging strategy this week. We submitted 10 entries with our "real" picks and 8 with a straight hedge.  Our picks for the week were Buf, Jax, NYG, Chi, and Den.  We went 4-1. We now stand at 51-27-2 (65%) after 16 weeks and have 52 points in the contest, which puts us in 14th place out of 3,123 entries.  

You can see the dispersion of all the entries below. 40.5 points is now the most common entry score.  After 16 weeks, the average contest entry has about 2.53 points per week. 

 


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