WE BACK - Thursday Night Football - Texans at Chiefs
Las Vegas Super Contest Spread - Texans +9
ProMathletics Play - [0 Units] Texans +9 - YellowZone
Line Movement Potential Play - [3.3 Units] Texans +9.5 or more
We have, once again, made it through the looong national nightmare that is the football off-season. It didn't come easy this year, as the entire globe has basically been a rotting pile of shit ever since the Chiefs took home Super Bowl LIV down in Miami. Well, my friends, the best part of the year (football season!) is finally back.
Yes, we know that the lack of crowd noise will have some impact on our historically observed home field advantage... yes, we agree the lack of a pre-season schedule and open practices has hurt our ability to refine personnel changes year-over-year... and yes, we acknowledge there may be increased volatility to team ability this year with potential Covid spreads putting down key players... with all that behind us, let's focus on the beauty of the opportunity before us.
Our analytical, data-driven, approach gives us a leg up on the public and the bookies, plain and simple. Our systems aren't perfect, but they are better suited to handle the funkiness of the 2020 NFL season better than any of the other counter-parties we are going to be dealing with. We'll be marching along, running the numbers for you all season, just as we always do. With that out of the way...it's on to Week 1!
The Chiefs are going to have the most terrifying offense in the league again and should be able to get enough stops to cruise into the playoffs without a lot of stress. Collecting their Championship Rings tonight against a Texans team who had much more roster turnover, they are going to get the win. Our models have it as about a 7.5-point game. Those of you who have been riding along with us for the last four years know that from 7.5 to 9 is not enough juice to be in the highly coveted, and profitable, GreenZone. So, unfortunately, we'll be waiting until Sunday to recommend any plays with Units.
HOWEVER, unlike in years past, we will be releasing the Sunday plays on Friday afternoon on the site. That's right, all content is FREE for the entirety of the 2020 NFL season...and potentially into perpetuity. We are here as a resource to all of our buddies and fellow ProLievers who don't have the analytical chops to do the hard work during these trying times. If we can stack some cheese together and rise above the house during a global pandemic, the more the merrier.
Check the site tomorrow (Friday 9/11 'Never Forget') afternoon for the full Week 1 plays...it's looking like 6-9 GreenZone plays as the books and public brains are fucking scrambled with the start of the season.