Thursday Night Football - Colts at Texans
Indianapolis Colts (6-4) at Houston Texans (6-4)
YellowZone [0 units] Colts (+4) at Texans
3.3 Units - Colts +4.5 or more
As you can see from threshold above, this game is in the YellowZone for us. We have the spread around 0.5 to 2-points in favor of the home team Texans. When we don't quite have three full points and there is significant amount of noise in the game, it's usually better to just kick it. This is a short week and NRG Stadium is not an easy place to play. The Colts WR group is still very beat up and the absence of Marlon Mack is also going to have at least a marginal impact.
This is a great matchup and obviously has big implications in the AFC South divisional standings, so it should be a good game. If it gets up to 4.5 or 5, it's worth a little taste, but there's no reason to make it a full wager at any point, and definitely not sitting at +4.