Historical Performance: Straight Bets 2016 & 2017
When it comes to validation of historical performance in the gambling world, it is a Joe vs Joe pissing contest 90% of the time. Unlike the regulated markets of equities and securities, there is no way to track an individual manager’s performance. For that reason, there are a lot of people who grossly overinflate their historical performance and essentially make up too good to be true fictitious stats. People consistently ask us to send historical performance and we do. We also publish our weekly picks and write-ups after all games for that week are final. That being said, we understand that an independent, third-party, validation of our performance is more powerful than anything we can self-publish. In a display of documented and proven performance, by way of The Las Vegas SuperContest, we will lay out exactly what you would have returned based on using just our 5 weekly SuperContest picks from the 2016 and 2017 seasons.
What is the Las Vegas SuperContest you ask? The SuperContest is the world’s single largest handicapping contest held annually throughout the NFL regular season. This contest is hosted and managed by the Westgate Superbook, which is the largest sports book in the world. The contest requires each entrant to pay a fee of $1,500, and then pick 5 NFL games against the spread on a weekly basis. It is basically The World Series of Poker…but for professional and big-spending amateur handicappers. The top 100 in the standings at the end of week 17 in 2018 win cash prizes. The 2017 winner took home $1,327,000 for first place. In 2016, ProMathletics (Entry Name: OhioAgainstTheWorld) finished with a record of 49-35-1 good for 76th place out of 1615 entries. In 2017, ProMatheltics (Entry Name: @ProMathletics) finished with a 50-33-2 record good for 82nd place out of 2406 entries. To our knowledge, we are the only group who has finished in the top-100 over the last two seasons.
Below is a weekly outline of the results of the picks from 2016 and 2017 for the 5 games we took each week. You can validate our weekly and end of season SuperContest standings by visiting the following page and looking up the entry names above for the respective years fantasysupercontest.com
These results assume that players had a starting bankroll of $1,000, and wagered $100 on each of the 5 games each week assuming juice of -110. If you can get better juice, great! Your performance would have been more profitable than what is displayed here.
Based on the wagering results of the 2016 SuperContest entries, you would have returned 105% on your starting bankroll as you won $1,050 over the course of the season by wagering $100 one each game. That’s a 17-week return of 105%, if you annualize that it equates to approximately 322%. Good luck getting that in the stock market or on your average real estate deal.
Let’s do the same exercise with the 2017 SuperContest picks selections for ProMathletics.
Based on the wagering results of the 2017 SuperContest entries, you would have returned 137% on your starting bankroll as you won $1,370 over the course of the season by wagering $100 one each game. That’s a 17-week return of 137%, if you annualize that it equates to approximately 447%. Additionally, over the course of 2 years you would have been up $2,420 or 242%. Again, please benchmark that against the S&P index historical returns.
As you can see, our results in the SuperContest validate our historical performance benchmark of 60% win rate on our NFL regular season selections. For information on our packages, our Super Contest page, and historical pick selections by game, visit our product page and start winning today!
Look for our piece on Parlay performance using the same picks coming next week.