NFL Wildcard Weekend - Eagles at Bears Prediction

What a finish to the GreenZone play for our subscribers last night.  We had the official published line as +2 for Seattle and we will maintain that as a push for our reporting purposes.  However, the line moved to +2.5 for the majority of the day and closed there, so we hope a lot of you guys cashed on that miracle, backdoor 2-point defeat.  We are officially 0-0-1 +0 Units as published, but are looking to get into the win column and into positive territory for the very young playoff season this afternoon in Chicago!

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[5.5 Units] Chicago Bears (-6) at home with the Eagles

5.5 Units – CHI -6 or less

2.75 Units – CHI -6.5

No Action – CHI -7 or more

This Chicago defense is the real deal.  That is the foundation for this play, but is also the foundation that has led the Bears back to the playoffs for the first time in 8 years.  They are getting it done at all three levels.  The defensive line is anchored by Akiem Hicks who is basically a one-man game wrecker.  Eddie Goldman is also very quietly having a great year.  The linebackers are obviously led by Khalil Mack, but the rest of the crew with playoff tested Danny Trevathan, young stud Roquan Smith, and a very athletic Leonard Floyd, round out a front-7 that is downright terrifying.  We won’t go through the list, but the DBs are all playing at premier levels as well.  Eddie Jackson is back to questionable at FS after missing the last couple of weeks, but as we talked about in last week’s write-up, even without him they still have more than enough talent and guys stepping up to get the job done.  It will take the combination of the perfect game plan and offensive line play to consistently move the ball against this Bears’ D.  Doug Peterson and Nick Foles have a very recent demonstrated ability of executing in the playoffs, but the one key difference this year is the play of that Philly offensive line.  They were the best in football down the stretch and in the playoffs last year.  Foles and Pederson get a lot of the pub, but the reality is they were absolutely mauling people in the run game and then had all day to take shots against flat defenses trying to hold them to less than 9 yards a carry.  Jason Peters is listed as questionable at LT, but he will most likely play.  The problem is he is not, and has not been, healthy.  His play has suffered as a result of going at maybe 60-70%.  They have problems at LG, rotating back and forth between last year’s starter (Wisniewski) and the guy who took his job in week 5, but has missed the last 3 weeks with an injury (Seumalo).  And to top it off, one of the best RT in the league, Lane Johnson, has been up and down this year with inconsistent play in part caused by injuries. 

We aren’t saying the Eagles are BAD up front now, because they aren’t…they still are about league-average per our metrics.  The problem is, league-average isn’t getting it done against this Bears D.  On the flip side, the Eagles defense that was playing great in the playoffs last year is really right about league-average as well.  They won enough games during the second half of the season to sneak back in, but this is not the same team as last year and the Bears should take this one by at least a touchdown.

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