NFL Week 15 Thursday Night Football - Chargers at Chiefs Prediction

We have the last Thursday Night Football game of the year tonight.  Sad, but true.  The reality that the regular season is coming to a close is starting to set in, but that doesn't mean there isn't a ton of really good football left.  Additionally, we get a nice little NFL double-header on Saturday, so we have to stay with a 'glass half full' mentality. 

The final Thursday Night game of the year may possibly be the best one of the season.  The 10-3 Chargers come into Arrowhead to face the 11-2 Chiefs for a battle that is going to have a huge impact on who ultimately wins the AFC West.  Not only are these two teams the #1 and #2 teams in the division, they also have the best overall records in the AFC.  Whoever loses this game very well could finish with the 2nd best record in the AFC, but end up a summation...BIG game.

As is true with a lot of the marquee matchups against top teams, this spread is pretty much right on the button.  We have the Chiefs as 3.5 to 4.5-point favorites to win the game and that is exactly where this one is going off at all books.  If we had to lean, it'd be in favor of the Chiefs as a RedZone pick due to those scenarios where we have them as 4.5-point winners.  However, 1-point of value is not a GreenZone play for us, so unfortunately, we will be on the sidelines for this awesome matchup.

The fact that Eric Berry may play for the first time all year could potentially boost the Chiefs lackluster D, but that isn't something that we could even think about incorporating into our modeling.  The Chiefs are a slightly better overall team and are playing in a great environment, but the relative strength of the Chargers defense prevents this one from having enough juice for us.  If one team gets out to a big early lead, you can consider a live or halftime-line for the other team to come back because this one should be about a 3-point game.

We are looking at two GreenZone games on Saturday, so if you are going to sign up for a 1-week pass, be sure to do so on Saturday because there is gong to be value you won't want to miss!

Leave a comment