Monday Night Baseball - LA Dodgers at Phi Phillies
Monday Night Baseball
LA Dodgers (62-33) @ Philadephia Phillies (48-45)
Market Price – LAD -170 / Phi +150
Promathletics Pick – Lean Phi +150
LAD – (L) Clayton Kershaw
Phi – (R) Zach Eflin
After beating the Redsox last night on Sunday night baseball the Dodgers get another prime-time game as they stay on the east coast and take on the Philadelphia Phillies. The 3rd place NL east Phillies are looking to take one from the 1st place NL west Dodgers as they are coming off losing 2 of 3 at home versus the Nationals.
The Dodgers are throwing the crafty southpaw, Clayton Kershaw. Kershaw is in typical Kershaw form. He is 7-2 with a 3.13 era. All underlying advanced stats agree with that era. As for the Dodgers offense, they are one of the leagues bests at producing runs. They have a 111 wRC+ and are led by Cody Bellinger. Bellinger is hitting .334 and has a 182 wRC+.
The home will be throwing the big 6’6 righty, Zach Eflin. Eflin is 7-8 with a 3.78 era. Unlike Kershaw, Eflin’s advance stats point to a 4+ era. His SIERA sits at 4.70 and tells a story of a somewhat lucky pitcher to date. The Phillies offense is just below league average with a 93 wRC+. Rhys Hoskins leads the team with a 142 wRC+.
As normal the market price for a Kershaw/Dodger game is way too expensive. We think this game should be priced at about +/- 145 not considering vig. So, the Phillies are getting some value but not enough to warrant a true valued Greenzone game. This is a true entertainment bet lean. If you are looking for our valued Greenzone picks Click here. Since the All-star break we are 4-1 +6 units. Jump on now and take advantage of a huge second half of baseball betting.