College Basketball - Duke vs Notre Dame

College Basketball Big Monday

#2 Duke @ Notre Dame

Purcell Pavilion South Bend, IN

Line – Duke -14.5

 

We got some Big Monday ACCtion. #2 Duke (17-2) heads to South Bend to face Notre Dame (11-9). Duke has now won 10 of their last 11 games. On Saturday they found themselves down 2 at half to Georgia Tech. They regrouped and came out the second half and beat the Yellow Jackets 66-53. Notre Dame’s season is basically dead at this point. Losing 6 of their last 7 games and 4 straight, the Irish have nothing other than pride to play for at this point in the season. They got destroyed by Virginia on Saturday 82-55. Coach Mike Brey, called a rare 8am practice on Sunday in hopes of figuring out how not to get embarrassed again on Monday.

There is not much to write about for the Irish. They are averaging 73 pts/gm and allowing 69 (nice). John Mooney leads the team, averaging 14.5 pts/gm and 10.8 rebounds/gm. Unfortunately for Coach Brey’s team, this will be the closest any of his players will get to playing in the NBA (see Duke’s freshman).

Both RJ Barrett and Zion Williamson are living up to their top NBA pick pedigree. They are averaging 23.9 and 21.7 pts/gm respectively. Duke is scoring 87.4 pts/gm and allowing 66.2. Freshman guard, Tre Jones, played 35 mins in the GT game. Jones had been sidelined the last couple games due to an AC joint strain. Against GT, Duke was 2/21 shooting 3-pointers. Shooting from the perimeter has been their downfall all year. They are shooting 30.2%, which is good for 322nd in the nation. If they can start improving that facet of the game, they can easily beat anyone in the nation.

The line currently sits at Duke -14.5. Our models have this line right at Duke -14. This gives ND a slight edge. This will be Notre Dame’s championship game, Coach Brey, a former assistant to Coach K, will have his guys fired up. However, the talent in this game will not be close. Duke struggled in the 1st half against GT, so Coach K knows how important coming out of the locker room ready to go will be tonight. Even though the slight value favors ND, we are leaning Duke in this one.  ND just doesn’t have the talent and Duke’s 3-point shooting should be better tonight, which a poor 3-point shooting night would be the only thing holding them back from winning this game by 20+ points. This is not a GreenZone game, but rather a lean.

 


Leave a comment